Walk-forward strategy performance
All time 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 2 years 3 years 4 years 5 years
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 548 archive drawings (2026-02-27 → 2026-08-28) using only prior data — no lookahead. Real Cash 3 economics at $0.25 per family per drawing: $32.50 distinct box, $75.00 double box, $225.00 triple/straight.
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. the Fixed 137 strategy bets 137 families every drawing:
137 × 548 = 75,076 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed Five Families | 5.0 | 548 | 2,740 | 30 | 1.09% | $685 | $975 | $290 | 42.3% | $-71.25 |
| Fixed 137 (Frozen 2025-26 List) | 137.0 | 548 | 75,076 | 436 | 0.58% | $18,769 | $17,807.5 | $-961.5 | -5.1% | $-961.5 |
| Fixed 40 Doubles (Frozen 2026 List) | 40.0 | 548 | 21,920 | 117 | 0.53% | $5,480 | $8,775 | $3,295 | 60.1% | $-105 |
| 789 Portfolio (51 fixed) | 51.0 | 548 | 27,948 | 92 | 0.33% | $6,987 | $7,200 | $213 | 3.0% | $-780.75 |
| 789 Top 10 (of the 51) | 10.0 | 548 | 5,480 | 17 | 0.31% | $1,370 | $1,575 | $205 | 15.0% | $-172.5 |
| Followed-By Chain | 1.8 | 548 | 975 | 4 | 0.41% | $243.75 | $130 | $-113.75 | -46.7% | $-135 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.8 | 458 | 3,587 | 12 | 0.33% | $896.75 | $517.5 | $-379.25 | -42.3% | $-379.25 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 10.0 | 548 | 5,480 | 43 | 0.78% | $1,370 | $1,397.5 | $27.5 | 2.0% | $-110 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | 10.0 | 548 | 5,480 | 29 | 0.53% | $1,370 | $942.5 | $-427.5 | -31.2% | $-505 |
| Hot Doubles (top 18) | 18.0 | 548 | 9,864 | 67 | 0.68% | $2,466 | $2,177.5 | $-288.5 | -11.7% | $-294 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | 10.0 | 548 | 5,480 | 17 | 0.31% | $1,370 | $872.5 | $-497.5 | -36.3% | $-655 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 18.0 | 548 | 9,864 | 30 | 0.30% | $2,466 | $2,550 | $84 | 3.4% | $-343.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | 18.0 | 548 | 9,864 | 38 | 0.39% | $2,466 | $2,192.5 | $-273.5 | -11.1% | $-279 |
| Calendar Month Top-5 | 5.0 | 548 | 2,740 | 10 | 0.36% | $685 | $325 | $-360 | -52.5% | $-385 |
| Baseline: All 120 Distinct Boxes | 120.0 | 548 | 65,760 | 374 | 0.57% | $16,440 | $12,155 | $-4,285 | -26.1% | $-4,285 |
| Consensus Panel | 5.0 | 548 | 2,740 | 23 | 0.84% | $685 | $747.5 | $62.5 | 9.1% | $-47.5 |
Window summary.
7 of 16 strategies finished positive in this window.
Top: Fixed 40 Doubles (Frozen 2026 List) +$3295.00 · Fixed Five Families +$290.00 · 789 Portfolio (51 fixed) +$213.00
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. the Fixed 137 strategy bets 137 families every drawing:
137 × 548 = 75,076 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below.