Walk-forward strategy performance
All time 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 2 years 3 years 4 years 5 years
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 276 archive drawings (2026-05-26 → 2026-08-25) using only prior data — no lookahead. Real Cash 3 economics at $0.25 per family per drawing: $32.50 distinct box, $75.00 double box, $225.00 triple/straight.
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. the Fixed 137 strategy bets 137 families every drawing:
137 × 276 = 37,812 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed Five Families | 5.0 | 276 | 1,380 | 14 | 1.01% | $345 | $455 | $110 | 31.9% | $-61.25 |
| Fixed 137 (Frozen 2025-26 List) | 137.0 | 276 | 37,812 | 222 | 0.59% | $9,453 | $9,042.5 | $-410.5 | -4.3% | $-410.5 |
| Fixed 40 Doubles (Frozen 2026 List) | 40.0 | 276 | 11,040 | 63 | 0.57% | $2,760 | $4,725 | $1,965 | 71.2% | $-180 |
| 789 Portfolio (51 fixed) | 51.0 | 276 | 14,076 | 52 | 0.37% | $3,519 | $3,900 | $381 | 10.8% | $-477 |
| 789 Top 10 (of the 51) | 10.0 | 276 | 2,760 | 10 | 0.36% | $690 | $750 | $60 | 8.7% | $-120 |
| Followed-By Chain | 1.8 | 276 | 485 | 2 | 0.41% | $121.25 | $65 | $-56.25 | -46.4% | $-56.25 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.8 | 223 | 1,749 | 6 | 0.34% | $437.25 | $280 | $-157.25 | -36.0% | $-198 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 10.0 | 276 | 2,760 | 23 | 0.83% | $690 | $747.5 | $57.5 | 8.3% | $-122.5 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | 10.0 | 276 | 2,760 | 13 | 0.47% | $690 | $422.5 | $-267.5 | -38.8% | $-267.5 |
| Hot Doubles (top 18) | 18.0 | 276 | 4,968 | 33 | 0.66% | $1,242 | $1,072.5 | $-169.5 | -13.7% | $-236 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | 10.0 | 276 | 2,760 | 9 | 0.33% | $690 | $377.5 | $-312.5 | -45.3% | $-312.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 18.0 | 276 | 4,968 | 19 | 0.38% | $1,242 | $1,425 | $183 | 14.7% | $-81 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | 18.0 | 276 | 4,968 | 17 | 0.34% | $1,242 | $977.5 | $-264.5 | -21.3% | $-264.5 |
| Calendar Month Top-5 | 5.0 | 276 | 1,380 | 5 | 0.36% | $345 | $162.5 | $-182.5 | -52.9% | $-192.5 |
| Baseline: All 120 Distinct Boxes | 120.0 | 276 | 33,120 | 185 | 0.56% | $8,280 | $6,012.5 | $-2,267.5 | -27.4% | $-2,267.5 |
| Consensus Panel | 5.0 | 276 | 1,380 | 10 | 0.72% | $345 | $325 | $-20 | -5.8% | $-61.25 |
Window summary.
6 of 16 strategies finished positive in this window.
Top: Fixed 40 Doubles (Frozen 2026 List) +$1965.00 · 789 Portfolio (51 fixed) +$381.00 · Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$183.00
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. the Fixed 137 strategy bets 137 families every drawing:
137 × 276 = 37,812 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below.