Walk-forward strategy performance
All time 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 2 years 3 years 4 years 5 years
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 5,484 archive drawings (2021-08-24 → 2026-08-25) using only prior data — no lookahead. Real Cash 3 economics at $0.25 per family per drawing: $32.50 distinct box, $75.00 double box, $225.00 triple/straight.
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. the Fixed 137 strategy bets 137 families every drawing:
137 × 5,484 = 751,308 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed Five Families | 5.0 | 5,484 | 27,420 | 214 | 0.78% | $6,855 | $6,955 | $100 | 1.5% | $-820 |
| Fixed 137 (Frozen 2025-26 List) | 137.0 | 5,484 | 751,308 | 4,136 | 0.55% | $187,827 | $159,687.5 | $-28,139.5 | -15.0% | $-28,139.5 |
| Fixed 40 Doubles (Frozen 2026 List) | 40.0 | 5,484 | 219,360 | 702 | 0.32% | $54,840 | $52,650 | $-2,190 | -4.0% | $-6,570 |
| 789 Portfolio (51 fixed) | 51.0 | 5,484 | 279,684 | 854 | 0.31% | $69,921 | $67,350 | $-2,571 | -3.7% | $-3,868.5 |
| 789 Top 10 (of the 51) | 10.0 | 5,484 | 54,840 | 154 | 0.28% | $13,710 | $12,600 | $-1,110 | -8.1% | $-1,590 |
| Followed-By Chain | 1.8 | 5,484 | 9,967 | 52 | 0.52% | $2,491.75 | $1,860 | $-631.75 | -25.4% | $-653.75 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.8 | 4,703 | 36,683 | 159 | 0.43% | $9,170.75 | $7,165 | $-2,005.75 | -21.9% | $-2,005.75 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 10.0 | 5,484 | 54,840 | 337 | 0.61% | $13,710 | $10,952.5 | $-2,757.5 | -20.1% | $-2,822.5 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | 10.0 | 5,484 | 54,840 | 334 | 0.61% | $13,710 | $10,855 | $-2,855 | -20.8% | $-2,892.5 |
| Hot Doubles (top 18) | 18.0 | 5,484 | 98,712 | 608 | 0.62% | $24,678 | $19,760 | $-4,918 | -19.9% | $-4,918 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | 10.0 | 5,484 | 54,840 | 213 | 0.39% | $13,710 | $9,985 | $-3,725 | -27.2% | $-3,725 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 18.0 | 5,484 | 98,712 | 286 | 0.29% | $24,678 | $22,500 | $-2,178 | -8.8% | $-2,605.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | 18.0 | 5,484 | 98,712 | 307 | 0.31% | $24,678 | $20,425 | $-4,253 | -17.2% | $-4,253 |
| Calendar Month Top-5 | 5.0 | 5,484 | 27,420 | 151 | 0.55% | $6,855 | $4,907.5 | $-1,947.5 | -28.4% | $-1,982.5 |
| Baseline: All 120 Distinct Boxes | 120.0 | 5,484 | 658,080 | 3,935 | 0.60% | $164,520 | $127,887.5 | $-36,632.5 | -22.3% | $-36,632.5 |
| Consensus Panel | 5.0 | 5,484 | 27,421 | 173 | 0.63% | $6,855.25 | $5,622.5 | $-1,232.75 | -18.0% | $-1,332.75 |
Window summary.
1 of 16 strategies finished positive in this window.
Top: Fixed Five Families +$100.00 · Followed-By Chain -$631.75 · 789 Top 10 (of the 51) -$1110.00
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. the Fixed 137 strategy bets 137 families every drawing:
137 × 5,484 = 751,308 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below.