Walk-forward strategy performance
All time 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 2 years 3 years 4 years 5 years
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 2,193 archive drawings (2024-08-25 → 2026-08-25) using only prior data — no lookahead. Real Cash 3 economics at $0.25 per family per drawing: $32.50 distinct box, $75.00 double box, $225.00 triple/straight.
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. the Fixed 137 strategy bets 137 families every drawing:
137 × 2,193 = 300,441 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed Five Families | 5.0 | 2,193 | 10,965 | 103 | 0.94% | $2,741.25 | $3,347.5 | $606.25 | 22.1% | $-117.5 |
| Fixed 137 (Frozen 2025-26 List) | 137.0 | 2,193 | 300,441 | 1,731 | 0.58% | $75,110.25 | $68,787.5 | $-6,322.75 | -8.4% | $-6,322.75 |
| Fixed 40 Doubles (Frozen 2026 List) | 40.0 | 2,193 | 87,720 | 319 | 0.36% | $21,930 | $23,925 | $1,995 | 9.1% | $-2,205 |
| 789 Portfolio (51 fixed) | 51.0 | 2,193 | 111,843 | 345 | 0.31% | $27,960.75 | $27,375 | $-585.75 | -2.1% | $-1,869.75 |
| 789 Top 10 (of the 51) | 10.0 | 2,193 | 21,930 | 63 | 0.29% | $5,482.5 | $5,475 | $-7.5 | -0.1% | $-720 |
| Followed-By Chain | 1.8 | 2,193 | 3,977 | 21 | 0.53% | $994.25 | $725 | $-269.25 | -27.1% | $-269.25 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.8 | 1,885 | 14,724 | 67 | 0.46% | $3,681 | $2,985 | $-696 | -18.9% | $-761.75 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 10.0 | 2,193 | 21,930 | 153 | 0.70% | $5,482.5 | $4,972.5 | $-510 | -9.3% | $-655 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | 10.0 | 2,193 | 21,930 | 115 | 0.52% | $5,482.5 | $3,737.5 | $-1,745 | -31.8% | $-1,745 |
| Hot Doubles (top 18) | 18.0 | 2,193 | 39,474 | 263 | 0.67% | $9,868.5 | $8,547.5 | $-1,321 | -13.4% | $-1,321 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | 10.0 | 2,193 | 21,930 | 87 | 0.40% | $5,482.5 | $3,955 | $-1,527.5 | -27.9% | $-1,540 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 18.0 | 2,193 | 39,474 | 111 | 0.28% | $9,868.5 | $9,075 | $-793.5 | -8.0% | $-1,341 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | 18.0 | 2,193 | 39,474 | 133 | 0.34% | $9,868.5 | $8,855 | $-1,013.5 | -10.3% | $-1,013.5 |
| Calendar Month Top-5 | 5.0 | 2,193 | 10,965 | 52 | 0.47% | $2,741.25 | $1,690 | $-1,051.25 | -38.4% | $-1,090 |
| Baseline: All 120 Distinct Boxes | 120.0 | 2,193 | 263,160 | 1,569 | 0.60% | $65,790 | $50,992.5 | $-14,797.5 | -22.5% | $-14,797.5 |
| Consensus Panel | 5.0 | 2,193 | 10,965 | 74 | 0.67% | $2,741.25 | $2,405 | $-336.25 | -12.3% | $-460 |
Window summary.
2 of 16 strategies finished positive in this window.
Top: Fixed 40 Doubles (Frozen 2026 List) +$1995.00 · Fixed Five Families +$606.25 · 789 Top 10 (of the 51) -$7.50
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. the Fixed 137 strategy bets 137 families every drawing:
137 × 2,193 = 300,441 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below.