Walk-forward strategy performance
All time 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 2 years 3 years 4 years 5 years
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 6,009 archive drawings (2021-03-02 → 2026-08-25) using only prior data — no lookahead. Real Cash 3 economics at $0.25 per family per drawing: $32.50 distinct box, $75.00 double box, $225.00 triple/straight.
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. the Fixed 137 strategy bets 137 families every drawing:
137 × 6,009 = 823,233 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed Five Families | 5.0 | 6,009 | 30,045 | 229 | 0.76% | $7,511.25 | $7,442.5 | $-68.75 | -0.9% | $-1,038.75 |
| Fixed 137 (Frozen 2025-26 List) | 137.0 | 6,009 | 823,233 | 4,512 | 0.55% | $205,808.25 | $173,587.5 | $-32,220.75 | -15.7% | $-32,220.75 |
| Fixed 40 Doubles (Frozen 2026 List) | 40.0 | 6,009 | 240,360 | 750 | 0.31% | $60,090 | $56,250 | $-3,840 | -6.4% | $-8,025 |
| 789 Portfolio (51 fixed) | 51.0 | 6,009 | 306,459 | 911 | 0.30% | $76,614.75 | $71,925 | $-4,689.75 | -6.1% | $-5,808 |
| 789 Top 10 (of the 51) | 10.0 | 6,009 | 60,090 | 169 | 0.28% | $15,022.5 | $13,875 | $-1,147.5 | -7.6% | $-1,695 |
| Followed-By Chain | 1.8 | 6,009 | 10,928 | 58 | 0.53% | $2,732 | $2,097.5 | $-634.5 | -23.2% | $-679.75 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.8 | 5,166 | 40,324 | 175 | 0.43% | $10,081 | $7,855 | $-2,226 | -22.1% | $-2,226 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 10.0 | 6,009 | 60,090 | 376 | 0.63% | $15,022.5 | $12,220 | $-2,802.5 | -18.7% | $-2,905 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | 10.0 | 6,009 | 60,090 | 366 | 0.61% | $15,022.5 | $11,895 | $-3,127.5 | -20.8% | $-3,197.5 |
| Hot Doubles (top 18) | 18.0 | 6,009 | 108,162 | 671 | 0.62% | $27,040.5 | $21,807.5 | $-5,233 | -19.4% | $-5,304.5 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | 10.0 | 6,009 | 60,090 | 242 | 0.40% | $15,022.5 | $11,097.5 | $-3,925 | -26.1% | $-3,925 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 18.0 | 6,009 | 108,162 | 311 | 0.29% | $27,040.5 | $24,525 | $-2,515.5 | -9.3% | $-2,946 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | 18.0 | 6,009 | 108,162 | 353 | 0.33% | $27,040.5 | $22,792.5 | $-4,248 | -15.7% | $-4,248 |
| Calendar Month Top-5 | 5.0 | 6,009 | 30,045 | 164 | 0.55% | $7,511.25 | $5,330 | $-2,181.25 | -29.0% | $-2,181.25 |
| Baseline: All 120 Distinct Boxes | 120.0 | 6,009 | 721,080 | 4,324 | 0.60% | $180,270 | $140,530 | $-39,740 | -22.0% | $-39,740 |
| Consensus Panel | 5.0 | 6,009 | 30,046 | 195 | 0.65% | $7,511.5 | $6,337.5 | $-1,174 | -15.6% | $-1,420.25 |
Window summary.
0 of 16 strategies finished positive in this window.
Top: Fixed Five Families -$68.75 · Followed-By Chain -$634.50 · 789 Top 10 (of the 51) -$1147.50
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. the Fixed 137 strategy bets 137 families every drawing:
137 × 6,009 = 823,233 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below.