Walk-forward strategy performance
All time 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 2 years 3 years 4 years 5 years
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 3,291 archive drawings (2023-08-25 → 2026-08-25) using only prior data — no lookahead. Real Cash 3 economics at $0.25 per family per drawing: $32.50 distinct box, $75.00 double box, $225.00 triple/straight.
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. the Fixed 137 strategy bets 137 families every drawing:
137 × 3,291 = 450,867 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed Five Families | 5.0 | 3,291 | 16,455 | 150 | 0.91% | $4,113.75 | $4,875 | $761.25 | 18.5% | $-165 |
| Fixed 137 (Frozen 2025-26 List) | 137.0 | 3,291 | 450,867 | 2,538 | 0.56% | $112,716.75 | $98,672.5 | $-14,044.25 | -12.5% | $-14,044.25 |
| Fixed 40 Doubles (Frozen 2026 List) | 40.0 | 3,291 | 131,640 | 435 | 0.33% | $32,910 | $32,625 | $-285 | -0.9% | $-4,470 |
| 789 Portfolio (51 fixed) | 51.0 | 3,291 | 167,841 | 512 | 0.31% | $41,960.25 | $40,800 | $-1,160.25 | -2.8% | $-2,302.5 |
| 789 Top 10 (of the 51) | 10.0 | 3,291 | 32,910 | 94 | 0.29% | $8,227.5 | $7,950 | $-277.5 | -3.4% | $-720 |
| Followed-By Chain | 1.8 | 3,291 | 5,973 | 28 | 0.47% | $1,493.25 | $952.5 | $-540.75 | -36.2% | $-540.75 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.8 | 2,833 | 22,156 | 104 | 0.47% | $5,539 | $4,697.5 | $-841.5 | -15.2% | $-841.5 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 10.0 | 3,291 | 32,910 | 204 | 0.62% | $8,227.5 | $6,630 | $-1,597.5 | -19.4% | $-1,662.5 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | 10.0 | 3,291 | 32,910 | 201 | 0.61% | $8,227.5 | $6,532.5 | $-1,695 | -20.6% | $-1,997.5 |
| Hot Doubles (top 18) | 18.0 | 3,291 | 59,238 | 367 | 0.62% | $14,809.5 | $11,927.5 | $-2,882 | -19.5% | $-2,882 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | 10.0 | 3,291 | 32,910 | 119 | 0.36% | $8,227.5 | $5,292.5 | $-2,935 | -35.7% | $-2,935 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 18.0 | 3,291 | 59,238 | 175 | 0.30% | $14,809.5 | $14,025 | $-784.5 | -5.3% | $-1,341 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | 18.0 | 3,291 | 59,238 | 185 | 0.31% | $14,809.5 | $12,480 | $-2,329.5 | -15.7% | $-2,385 |
| Calendar Month Top-5 | 5.0 | 3,291 | 16,455 | 87 | 0.53% | $4,113.75 | $2,827.5 | $-1,286.25 | -31.3% | $-1,371.25 |
| Baseline: All 120 Distinct Boxes | 120.0 | 3,291 | 394,920 | 2,370 | 0.60% | $98,730 | $77,025 | $-21,705 | -22.0% | $-21,705 |
| Consensus Panel | 5.0 | 3,291 | 16,455 | 99 | 0.60% | $4,113.75 | $3,217.5 | $-896.25 | -21.8% | $-996.25 |
Window summary.
1 of 16 strategies finished positive in this window.
Top: Fixed Five Families +$761.25 · 789 Top 10 (of the 51) -$277.50 · Fixed 40 Doubles (Frozen 2026 List) -$285.00
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. the Fixed 137 strategy bets 137 families every drawing:
137 × 3,291 = 450,867 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below.