Walk-forward strategy performance
All time 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 2 years 3 years 4 years 5 years
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,098 archive drawings (2025-08-25 → 2026-08-25) using only prior data — no lookahead. Real Cash 3 economics at $0.25 per family per drawing: $32.50 distinct box, $75.00 double box, $225.00 triple/straight.
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. the Fixed 137 strategy bets 137 families every drawing:
137 × 1,098 = 150,426 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed Five Families | 5.0 | 1,098 | 5,490 | 52 | 0.95% | $1,372.5 | $1,690 | $317.5 | 23.1% | $-105 |
| Fixed 137 (Frozen 2025-26 List) | 137.0 | 1,098 | 150,426 | 873 | 0.58% | $37,606.5 | $35,562.5 | $-2,044 | -5.4% | $-2,044 |
| Fixed 40 Doubles (Frozen 2026 List) | 40.0 | 1,098 | 43,920 | 198 | 0.45% | $10,980 | $14,850 | $3,870 | 35.3% | $-480 |
| 789 Portfolio (51 fixed) | 51.0 | 1,098 | 55,998 | 189 | 0.34% | $13,999.5 | $15,075 | $1,075.5 | 7.7% | $-787.5 |
| 789 Top 10 (of the 51) | 10.0 | 1,098 | 10,980 | 35 | 0.32% | $2,745 | $3,075 | $330 | 12.0% | $-465 |
| Followed-By Chain | 1.8 | 1,098 | 1,970 | 9 | 0.46% | $492.5 | $292.5 | $-200 | -40.6% | $-229.25 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.8 | 941 | 7,353 | 32 | 0.44% | $1,838.25 | $1,422.5 | $-415.75 | -22.6% | $-497.5 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 10.0 | 1,098 | 10,980 | 82 | 0.75% | $2,745 | $2,665 | $-80 | -2.9% | $-157.5 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | 10.0 | 1,098 | 10,980 | 58 | 0.53% | $2,745 | $1,885 | $-860 | -31.3% | $-860 |
| Hot Doubles (top 18) | 18.0 | 1,098 | 19,764 | 129 | 0.65% | $4,941 | $4,192.5 | $-748.5 | -15.2% | $-751.5 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | 10.0 | 1,098 | 10,980 | 42 | 0.38% | $2,745 | $1,790 | $-955 | -34.8% | $-1,010 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 18.0 | 1,098 | 19,764 | 61 | 0.31% | $4,941 | $5,025 | $84 | 1.7% | $-657 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | 18.0 | 1,098 | 19,764 | 75 | 0.38% | $4,941 | $4,757.5 | $-183.5 | -3.7% | $-456.5 |
| Calendar Month Top-5 | 5.0 | 1,098 | 5,490 | 23 | 0.42% | $1,372.5 | $747.5 | $-625 | -45.5% | $-631.25 |
| Baseline: All 120 Distinct Boxes | 120.0 | 1,098 | 131,760 | 759 | 0.58% | $32,940 | $24,667.5 | $-8,272.5 | -25.1% | $-8,272.5 |
| Consensus Panel | 5.0 | 1,098 | 5,490 | 42 | 0.77% | $1,372.5 | $1,365 | $-7.5 | -0.5% | $-113.75 |
Window summary.
5 of 16 strategies finished positive in this window.
Top: Fixed 40 Doubles (Frozen 2026 List) +$3870.00 · 789 Portfolio (51 fixed) +$1075.50 · 789 Top 10 (of the 51) +$330.00
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. the Fixed 137 strategy bets 137 families every drawing:
137 × 1,098 = 150,426 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below.