Walk-forward strategy performance
All time 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 2 years 3 years 4 years 5 years
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 4,386 archive drawings (2022-08-25 → 2026-08-25) using only prior data — no lookahead. Real Cash 3 economics at $0.25 per family per drawing: $32.50 distinct box, $75.00 double box, $225.00 triple/straight.
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. the Fixed 137 strategy bets 137 families every drawing:
137 × 4,386 = 600,882 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed Five Families | 5.0 | 4,386 | 21,930 | 184 | 0.84% | $5,482.5 | $5,980 | $497.5 | 9.1% | $-478.75 |
| Fixed 137 (Frozen 2025-26 List) | 137.0 | 4,386 | 600,882 | 3,338 | 0.56% | $150,220.5 | $129,245 | $-20,975.5 | -14.0% | $-20,975.5 |
| Fixed 40 Doubles (Frozen 2026 List) | 40.0 | 4,386 | 175,440 | 573 | 0.33% | $43,860 | $42,975 | $-885 | -2.0% | $-5,070 |
| 789 Portfolio (51 fixed) | 51.0 | 4,386 | 223,686 | 679 | 0.30% | $55,921.5 | $53,775 | $-2,146.5 | -3.8% | $-3,264.75 |
| 789 Top 10 (of the 51) | 10.0 | 4,386 | 43,860 | 121 | 0.28% | $10,965 | $10,125 | $-840 | -7.7% | $-1,245 |
| Followed-By Chain | 1.8 | 4,386 | 7,972 | 42 | 0.53% | $1,993 | $1,492.5 | $-500.5 | -25.1% | $-602.25 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.8 | 3,756 | 29,323 | 132 | 0.45% | $7,330.75 | $5,990 | $-1,340.75 | -18.3% | $-1,380.5 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 10.0 | 4,386 | 43,860 | 272 | 0.62% | $10,965 | $8,840 | $-2,125 | -19.4% | $-2,267.5 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | 10.0 | 4,386 | 43,860 | 263 | 0.60% | $10,965 | $8,547.5 | $-2,417.5 | -22.1% | $-2,417.5 |
| Hot Doubles (top 18) | 18.0 | 4,386 | 78,948 | 496 | 0.63% | $19,737 | $16,120 | $-3,617 | -18.3% | $-3,685 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | 10.0 | 4,386 | 43,860 | 162 | 0.37% | $10,965 | $7,370 | $-3,595 | -32.8% | $-3,607.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 18.0 | 4,386 | 78,948 | 232 | 0.29% | $19,737 | $18,450 | $-1,287 | -6.5% | $-1,804.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | 18.0 | 4,386 | 78,948 | 238 | 0.30% | $19,737 | $16,140 | $-3,597 | -18.2% | $-3,597 |
| Calendar Month Top-5 | 5.0 | 4,386 | 21,930 | 125 | 0.57% | $5,482.5 | $4,062.5 | $-1,420 | -25.9% | $-1,426.25 |
| Baseline: All 120 Distinct Boxes | 120.0 | 4,386 | 526,320 | 3,150 | 0.60% | $131,580 | $102,375 | $-29,205 | -22.2% | $-29,205 |
| Consensus Panel | 5.0 | 4,386 | 21,930 | 134 | 0.61% | $5,482.5 | $4,355 | $-1,127.5 | -20.6% | $-1,233.75 |
Window summary.
1 of 16 strategies finished positive in this window.
Top: Fixed Five Families +$497.50 · Followed-By Chain -$500.50 · 789 Top 10 (of the 51) -$840.00
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. the Fixed 137 strategy bets 137 families every drawing:
137 × 4,386 = 600,882 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below.